The United States has experienced the left’s vision for America over the past two years - it has not been pretty. Since January 2021, the United States at the federal level has spent an unprecedented amount of money. Ultimately, this has led to high inflation, high-interest rates, and a rapid increase in the price of nearly all goods. Crime is running rampant throughout the country because elected Democrats refuse to prosecute criminals. The left forced our nation to endure years of Covid-19 government lockdowns. The Democrats have tried to infuse radical gender ideology and racial essentialism into every aspect of our lives. At nearly every turn, the left has entirely disregarded our Constitution and our concept of individual rights in pursuit of their preferred policies. Today, the electorate has its first nationwide opportunity to rebuke the left’s radical agenda since Democrats took control of the House, Senate, and the Presidency.
Below are my predictions for some of the most tightly contested races in the 2022 Midterms. Needless to say, it should be a great night for Republicans.
Predictions for the 2022 Midterm Elections:
Senate:
Overall Senate: GOP +3 (after Georgia runoff)
53 Republicans – 47 Democrats
House of Representatives:
Overall House of Representatives: Republicans +35
247 Republicans – 188 Democrats
The 10 Most Important Senate Races:
1. Pennsylvania – Mehmet Oz (R) vs. John Fetterman (D)
Incumbent: No Incumbent. Pat Toomey (R) is not seeking re-election
Prediction: Oz (R) Wins
John Fetterman is a radical candidate who campaigned on the promise of eliminating the filibuster. While serving on the Board of Prisons, Fetterman routinely voted to allow violent criminals out of jail. He absurdly argued that releasing one-third of prison inmates would not make citizens any less safe. Fetterman is the embodiment of soft-on-crime. Aside from policy concerns, Fetterman, unfortunately, suffered a stroke during the campaign. As a result, he has clearly experienced a steep cognitive decline, as evidenced by his recent public appearances and debate against Oz. Fetterman, during the debate, had trouble formulating sentences and conveying his ideas clearly. It was the worst debate performance I have ever seen. Fetterman is a shell of himself and is not fit to serve in office as a United States Senator.
Oz is certainly not the ideal candidate for Republicans. I am afraid that he claims to be more conservative than he actually is. For much of the election, Oz did a poor job breaking down the wall between himself, a famous doctor and television host, and the average Pennsylvania voter. To Oz’s credit, he has adapted his campaign strategy, spending more time connecting with voters across the state. In doing so, his poll numbers have risen. Oz is now favored in the Real Clear Politics polling average.
2. Georgia – Herschel Walker (R) vs. Raphael Warnock
Incumbent: Warnock (D)
Prediction: Runoff Election (no candidate earns at least 50% of the vote) – Walker (R) Wins the Runoff
3. Nevada – Adam Laxalt (R) vs. Catherine Cortez Masto (D)
Incumbent: Cortez Masto (D)
Prediction: Laxalt (R) Wins
4. Arizona – Blake Masters (R) vs. Mark Kelly (D)
Incumbent: Kelly (D)
Prediction: Kelly (D) Wins
5. North Carolina – Ted Budd (R) vs. Cheri Beasley (D)
Incumbent: No Incumbent. Richard Burr (R) is not seeking re-election.
Prediction: Ted Budd (R) Wins
6. Florida – Marco Rubio (R) vs. Val Demings (D)
Incumbent: Marco Rubio (R)
Prediction: Marco Rubio (R)
7. Ohio – J.D. Vance (R) vs. Tim Ryan (D)
Incumbent: No Incumbent. Rob Portman (R) is not seeking re-election
Prediction: J.D. Vance (R)
8. Wisconsin – Ron Johnson (R) vs. Mandela Barnes (D)
Incumbent: Ron Johnson (R)
Prediction: Ron Johnson (R)
9. Washington – Tiffany Smiley (R) vs. Patty Murray (D)
Incumbent: Patty Murray (D)
Prediction: Patty Murray (D)
10. New Hampshire – Don Bolduc (R) vs. Maggie Hassan (D)
Incumbent: Maggie Hassan (D)
Prediction: Don Bolduc (R)
Garrett Gillespie graduated Magna Cum Laude from the University of Central Florida with a Bachelor of Arts degree in political science.
The Gillespie Report is a weekly news and conservative commentary column written by Garrett Gillespie. Subscribe to receive the newest edition each week for free.
Excellent piece; keep up the great commentary. I was confident that J.D. Vance would eventually pull through as he appeals to Ohioans across a broad socioeconomic spectrum. I don't think Blake Masters has connected well with working-class Arizonians; it will not be surprising if Mark Kelly wins. You are correct in saying that Dr. Oz is "certainly not the ideal candidate for Republicans," and John Fetterman arguably secured a victory on progressive populist messaging.